Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sassuolo 3-2 Cremonese
Monday, March 6 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Monday, March 6 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Sivasspor
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Cremonese 1-2 Fiorentina
Though they have won just three times and scored only 11 goals on the road in Serie A, Fiorentina can continue their uptick in form by beating a desperate Cremonese side. While the Grigiorossi boast some firepower and should find the net themselves, their Viola visitors are approaching top gear. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 54.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 22.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Cremonese win it was 1-0 (6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cremonese | Draw | Fiorentina |
22.94% ( 0.55) | 23.06% ( -0.22) | 54.01% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 55.73% ( 1.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
