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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 12, 2023 at 5pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Fiorentina logo

Juventus
1 - 0
Fiorentina

Rabiot (34')
Rabiot (2'), Allegri (3'), Sandro (19'), Bremer (85'), Kostic (88'), Kean (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Duncan (31'), Bonaventura (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 0-3 Juventus
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 2-1 Fiorentina

The only thing consistent about Fiorentina is their inconsistency, so it is unclear which shade of Viola will turn up in Turin. That notwithstanding, Juventus are growing closer to full strength in terms of personnel and have begun coming to terms with their points penalty - it is the Old Lady who will come out on top, then. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 49.83%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Juventus.

Result
JuventusDrawFiorentina
49.83% (4.308 4.31) 24.14% (-0.854 -0.85) 26.02% (-3.453 -3.45)
Both teams to score 55.54% (0.167 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.72% (1.435 1.44)46.28% (-1.434 -1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.43% (1.338 1.34)68.57% (-1.339 -1.34)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.37% (2.372 2.37)18.62% (-2.371 -2.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.07% (3.841 3.84)49.92% (-3.841 -3.84)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.25% (-1.838 -1.84)31.75% (1.839 1.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.82% (-2.164 -2.16)68.17% (2.165 2.17)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 49.83%
    Fiorentina 26.02%
    Draw 24.14%
JuventusDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 9.94% (0.137 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.349 0.35)
2-0 @ 8.35% (0.702 0.7)
3-1 @ 5.37% (0.565 0.57)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.698 0.7)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.181 0.18)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.381 0.38)
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.413 0.41)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.162 0.16)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 49.83%
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.43 -0.43)
0-0 @ 5.91% (-0.367 -0.37)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.14%
0-1 @ 6.78% (-0.795 -0.8)
1-2 @ 6.54% (-0.599 -0.6)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.682 -0.68)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.371 -0.37)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.352 -0.35)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 26.02%

How you voted: Juventus vs Fiorentina

Juventus
75.9%
Draw
18.1%
Fiorentina
6.0%
116
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 2pm
Fiorentina
1-1
Juventus
Kouame (29')
Amrabat (15')
Milik (9')
Sandro (33'), Locatelli (52'), Danilo (53')
May 21, 2022 7.45pm
Fiorentina
2-0
Juventus
Duncan (45+1'), Gonzalez (90+2' pen.)
Julio (44'), Venuti (56'), Amrabat (70')

Kean (44'), Rabiot (56'), de Ligt (84')
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals
Juventus
2-0
Fiorentina
Bernardeschi (32'), Danilo (90+4')
De Sciglio (45+2')

Martinez (72')
Mar 2, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals
Fiorentina
0-1
Juventus

Bonaventura (71'), Milenkovic (72'), Torreira (90')
Venuti (90+1' og.)
Pellegrini (57'), De Sciglio (79')
Nov 6, 2021 5pm
Juventus
1-0
Fiorentina
Cuadrado (90+1')
Danilo (45+2'), Rugani (88')

Martinez (26'), Milenkovic (66'), Nastasic (82')
Milenkovic (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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