Serie A | Gameweek 18
Jan 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma2 - 0Fiorentina
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Genoa
Thursday, January 12 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Thursday, January 12 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Sampdoria
Thursday, January 12 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Thursday, January 12 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
We said: Roma 1-1 Fiorentina
This one could go the distance: Roma have scored six of their last seven Serie A goals after the 80th minute, while Fiorentina have netted the most of any side in the 90th minute and beyond (five). As such, plenty of twists and turns may be in store, though the spoils are likely to end up being shared in the end. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Fiorentina |
44.35% ( -1.1) | 26.68% ( -0.12) | 28.96% ( 1.22) |
| Both teams to score 49.78% ( 1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
