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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Cremonese

Fiorentina
3 - 2
Cremonese

Bonaventura (16'), Jovic (34'), Mandragora (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Okereke (19'), Buonaiuto (68')
Chiriches (9'), Ghiglione (62'), Okereke (82')
Escalante (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Fiorentina 3-2 Cremonese

Fiorentina have never drawn in their last 11 Serie A season openers and are set to continue that run with victory on Sunday. Both sides have invested in new attacking options, so an entertaining encounter surely awaits at the Franchi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 72.9%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 10.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-2 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
FiorentinaDrawCremonese
72.9% (5.377 5.38) 16.58% (-2.191 -2.19) 10.52% (-3.189 -3.19)
Both teams to score 49.67% (-2.611 -2.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.66% (1.879 1.88)38.33% (-1.883 -1.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.38% (1.967 1.97)60.61% (-1.97 -1.97)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.85% (1.817 1.82)9.14% (-1.8201 -1.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.98% (4.183 4.18)31.01% (-4.187 -4.19)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.67% (-4.05 -4.05)45.33% (4.045 4.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.8% (-3.388 -3.39)81.19% (3.384 3.38)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 72.89%
    Cremonese 10.52%
    Draw 16.58%
FiorentinaDrawCremonese
2-0 @ 11.85% (0.8 0.8)
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
3-0 @ 9.46% (1.307 1.31)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.402 -0.4)
3-1 @ 7.48% (0.272 0.27)
4-0 @ 5.66% (1.152 1.15)
4-1 @ 4.48% (0.49 0.49)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.23 -0.23)
5-0 @ 2.71% (0.715 0.72)
5-1 @ 2.14% (0.379 0.38)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.008 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.08% (0.345 0.35)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 72.89%
1-1 @ 7.84% (-1.008 -1.01)
0-0 @ 4.14% (-0.382 -0.38)
2-2 @ 3.71% (-0.616 -0.62)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 16.58%
0-1 @ 3.28% (-0.726 -0.73)
1-2 @ 3.1% (-0.813 -0.81)
0-2 @ 1.3% (-0.474 -0.47)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.298 -0.3)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 10.52%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Cremonese

Fiorentina
90.6%
Draw
5.9%
Cremonese
3.5%
85
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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