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Coppa Italia | Quarter-Finals
Feb 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Cremonese

Roma
1 - 2
Cremonese

Belotti (90+4')
Patricio (26'), Mancini (29')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dessers (28' pen.), Celik (49' og.)
Dessers (28'), Ballardini (59'), Aiwu (60'), Ferrari (62'), Sarr (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between Roma and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Roma
Sunday, January 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 2-0 Cremonese

The first Coppa Italia clash between Roma and Cremonese should end with a conventional scoreline, as the hosts have generally come out on top in previous league meetings. Even if key players are rested, the Giallorossi can blood promising players with European experience already under their belts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 57.78%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 19.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
RomaDrawCremonese
57.78% (0.13 0.13) 22.99% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05) 19.23% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Both teams to score 50.51% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.3% (0.099000000000004 0.1)48.7% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.19% (0.09 0.09)70.81% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.42% (0.081999999999994 0.08)16.58% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.62% (0.144 0.14)46.38% (-0.14 -0.14)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.56% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)39.44% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.86% (-0.026 -0.03)76.14% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Roma 57.77%
    Cremonese 19.23%
    Draw 22.98%
RomaDrawCremonese
1-0 @ 11.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.32% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.88% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.84% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.64% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.02% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 57.77%
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.54% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.98%
0-1 @ 6.09% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.09% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 19.23%

How you voted: Roma vs Cremonese

Roma
84.7%
Draw
9.2%
Cremonese
6.1%
98
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2022 5.30pm
Roma
1-0
Cremonese
Smalling (65')

Aiwu (24'), Zanimacchia (50'), Bianchetti (79')
rhs 2.0
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