Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Cremonese |
40.25% ( -0.04) | 25.95% ( 0.01) | 33.79% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.02% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.72% ( -0.04) | 50.28% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.77% ( -0.03) | 72.23% ( 0.03) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.36% ( -0.04) | 24.64% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.85% ( -0.05) | 59.15% ( 0.05) |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.68% ( -0) | 28.32% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.95% ( -0) | 64.05% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Cremonese |
1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 40.25% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 46 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
7 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 26 |
11 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Parma | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
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