Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Cremonese |
39.53% ( -0.64) | 25.43% ( 0.14) | 35.04% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 56.03% ( -0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.2% ( -0.56) | 47.8% ( 0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.01% ( -0.51) | 69.99% ( 0.51) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.1% ( -0.57) | 23.9% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.9% ( -0.83) | 58.1% ( 0.83) |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.63% ( 0.03) | 26.37% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.48% ( 0.04) | 61.52% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Cremonese |
1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.53% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.24% Total : 35.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
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