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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Oct 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Empoli logo

Juventus
4 - 0
Empoli

Kean (8'), McKennie (56'), Rabiot (82', 90+4')
Cuadrado (36'), Rabiot (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Satriano (58'), Haas (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 0-1 Juventus
Saturday, October 15 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-0 Monza
Saturday, October 15 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 1-0 Empoli

Both of these sides' league games this season have only averaged exactly two goals per game, so it is hard to envisage either goalkeeper being too busy on Friday. We can see Juventus recording another narrow victory to move themselves one place upwards in the table, with their 3-5-2 formation appearing to suit their key personnel much better than 4-4-2. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 68.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
JuventusDrawEmpoli
68.03% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07) 18.54% (0.029 0.03) 13.42% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.28% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.18% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)39.81% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.82% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)62.17% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.28% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)10.72% (0.028 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.34% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)34.65% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.55% (0.030999999999999 0.03)41.44% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.05% (0.024999999999999 0.02)77.95% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 68.02%
    Empoli 13.42%
    Draw 18.54%
JuventusDrawEmpoli
2-0 @ 11.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.92% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 8.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.6% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.2%
5-0 @ 2.06% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.81% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.79% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 68.02%
1-1 @ 8.74% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.54%
0-1 @ 3.91% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.85% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.72% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 13.42%

How you voted: Juventus vs Empoli

Juventus
79.4%
Draw
13.5%
Empoli
7.1%
267
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 5.05pm
Empoli
2-3
Juventus
Zurkowski (40'), La Mantia (76')
Ismajli (51'), Parisi (73')
Kean (32'), Vlahovic (45+2', 66')
Aug 28, 2021 7.45pm
Oct 27, 2018 5pm
Empoli
1-2
Juventus
Caputo (28')
Junior Traore (58'), Ucan (90')
Ronaldo (54' pen., 70')
Bernardeschi (43'), Bentancur (45'), Dybala (78')
Feb 25, 2017 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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