Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 63.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 15.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Bologna |
63.27% ( -0.01) | 21.1% ( 0) | 15.63% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.35% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.4% ( -0.01) | 46.6% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.12% ( -0.01) | 68.87% ( 0.01) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.91% ( -0.01) | 14.08% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.31% ( -0.01) | 41.69% ( 0.01) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.44% ( 0) | 42.56% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.08% ( 0) | 78.92% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 11.74% 2-0 @ 11.51% 2-1 @ 9.84% 3-0 @ 7.52% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.69% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.61% Total : 63.25% | 1-1 @ 10.03% 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.09% | 0-1 @ 5.12% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.29% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.62% Total : 15.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 41 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 35 |
5 | Juventus | 18 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 32 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
9 | Udinese | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
10 | Roma | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Torino | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 21 |
12 | Empoli | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
13 | Genoa | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
14 | Parma | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 19 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 19 |
16 | Como | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 |
18 | Lecce | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 17 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
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