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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 11, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Fiorentina logo

Bologna
2 - 1
Fiorentina

Barrow (59'), Arnautovic (62')
Lykogiannis (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Martinez (54')
Kouame (46'), Amrabat (50'), Julio (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Bologna
Sunday, September 4 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 RFS
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Bologna 1-2 Fiorentina

Fiorentina took plenty of shots at goal in midweek, but came away with only one goal, and with a little more precision they can take exploit Bologna's predicament on Sunday. The Viola do not fare well outside of Florence, but their hosts' confidence remains brittle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 36.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
BolognaDrawFiorentina
37.54% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07) 25.57% (0.012 0.01) 36.89% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Both teams to score 55.72% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.72% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)48.28% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.57% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)70.43% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.82% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)25.17% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.1% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)59.9% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46% (0.007000000000005 0.01)25.53% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.61% (0.010000000000005 0.01)60.39% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 37.54%
    Fiorentina 36.89%
    Draw 25.57%
BolognaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 37.54%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.43% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 8.78% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.99% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.73% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 36.89%

How you voted: Bologna vs Fiorentina

Bologna
21.7%
Draw
27.8%
Fiorentina
50.4%
115
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 11.30am
Fiorentina
1-0
Bologna
Torreira (70')
Torreira (76')

Bonifazi (23'), Soumaoro (73'), Hickey (86'), Sansone (90+3')
Bonifazi (41')
Dec 5, 2021 11.30am
Bologna
2-3
Fiorentina
Barrow (42'), Hickey (83')
Dominguez (24'), Theate (50'), Soumaoro (90+4')
Maleh (33'), Biraghi (51'), Vlahovic (67' pen.)
Torreira (25'), Milenkovic (64'), Amrabat (90')
May 2, 2021 2pm
Bologna
3-3
Fiorentina
Palacio (31', 71', 84')
Soumaoro (20'), Svanberg (47')
Vlahovic (21' pen., 74'), Bonaventura (64')
Milenkovic (76'), Julio (79')
Jan 3, 2021 2pm
Fiorentina
0-0
Bologna

Julio (8'), Pezzella (71'), Bonaventura (90+2'), Kouame (90+4')

De Silvestri (4'), Schouten (28'), Dominguez (58')
Jul 29, 2020 8.45pm
Fiorentina
4-0
Bologna
Chiesa (48', 54', 89'), Milenkovic (74')
Ghezzal (29'), Henrique (81')

Corbo (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1911263327635
5Juventus18711030151532
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese197482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino195681924-521
12Empoli194871822-420
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Parma194782534-919
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
16Como184682030-1018
17CagliariCagliari1945101832-1417
18Lecce1945101131-2017
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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