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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Bologna logo

AC Milan
2 - 0
Bologna

Leao (21'), Giroud (58')
Calabria (66'), Adli (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Schouten (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, August 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Bologna

With little to offer by way of a goal threat, Arnautovic aside, Bologna cannot afford to concede too often this season. Milan's growing depth in the final third should see them break through at some stage, and the champions should then coast home to three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 71.06%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 10.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.65%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawBologna
71.06% (0.21600000000001 0.22) 18.34% (-0.11 -0.11) 10.59% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 43.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77% (0.194 0.19)46.23% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.48% (0.182 0.18)68.52% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.28% (0.11499999999999 0.11)11.72% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.16% (0.244 0.24)36.84% (-0.241 -0.24)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.64% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)50.35% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.1% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)84.9% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 71.06%
    Bologna 10.59%
    Draw 18.34%
AC MilanDrawBologna
2-0 @ 13.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 12.65% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 9.69% (0.052 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.65% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 5.2% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.57% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 2.23% (0.032 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.53% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 71.06%
1-1 @ 8.68% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.9% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 18.34%
0-1 @ 4.05% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 2.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.39% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 10.59%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Bologna

AC Milan
92.0%
Draw
8.0%
Bologna
0.0%
87
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 23, 2021 7.45pm
Bologna
2-4
AC Milan
Ibrahimovic (49' og.), Barrow (52')
Arnautovic (34')
Soumaoro (20'), Soriano (58')
Leao (16'), Calabria (35'), Bennacer (84'), Ibrahimovic (90')
Tonali (45+1'), Calabria (61'), Saelemaekers (67')
Jan 30, 2021 2pm
Bologna
1-2
AC Milan
Poli (81')
Dijks (24'), Soriano (56')
Mihajlovic (55')
Rebic (26'), Kessie (55' pen.)
Rebic (51')
Sep 21, 2020 7.45pm
AC Milan
2-0
Bologna
Ibrahimovic (35', 50' pen.)
Castillejo (40'), Krunic (86'), Gabbia (89')

Dominguez (18'), Dijks (31'), Tomiyasu (74'), Sansone (82')
Dijks (88')
Jul 18, 2020 8.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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