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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Udinese logo

AC Milan
4 - 2
Udinese

Hernandez (11' pen.), Rebic (15', 68'), Diaz (46')
Krunic (34')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Becao (2'), Masina (45+3')
Soppy (9'), Becao (34'), Perez (55'), Ebosele (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

Last Six:
    Last Game: Vicenza 1-6 AC Milan
    Saturday, August 6 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

    Udinese

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Udinese 2-1 FeralpiSalo
      Friday, August 5 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

      We said: AC Milan 2-1 Udinese

       Milan may have underwhelmed in the transfer market, but they have a clearly defined way of playing and it has proven effective across the past two years. A home game against relatively modest opponents should be a gift, then, to start the new season, but Udinese can be tricky customers and will not be easily dispatched. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 66.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 13.3%.

      The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.51%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

      Result
      AC MilanDrawUdinese
      66.5% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04) 20.2% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 13.3% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
      Both teams to score 46.36% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      52.5% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)47.49% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      30.29% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)69.7% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
      AC Milan Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      86.61% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)13.39% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      59.69% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)40.31% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
      Udinese Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      53.52% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)46.47% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      17.91% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)82.08% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
      Score Analysis
          AC Milan 66.49%
          Udinese 13.3%
          Draw 20.2%
      AC MilanDrawUdinese
      2-0 @ 12.57%
      1-0 @ 12.51% (0.02 0.02)
      2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
      3-0 @ 8.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
      3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
      4-0 @ 4.24% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
      4-1 @ 3.25% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
      3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
      5-0 @ 1.7% (-0.006 -0.01)
      5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
      4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.004 -0)
      Other @ 2.66%
      Total : 66.49%
      		1-1 @ 9.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
      0-0 @ 6.22% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
      2-2 @ 3.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
      Other @ 0.7%
      Total : 20.2%
      		0-1 @ 4.77% (0.011 0.01)
      1-2 @ 3.67% (0.0020000000000002 0)
      0-2 @ 1.83% (0.0029999999999999 0)
      2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
      1-3 @ 0.94%
      Other @ 1.15%
      Total : 13.3%

      How you voted: AC Milan vs Udinese

      AC Milan
      89.3%
      Draw
      9.8%
      Udinese
      0.8%
      122
      Head to Head
      Feb 25, 2022 5.50pm
      AC Milan
      1-1
      Udinese
      Leao (29')
      Rebic (68'), Leao (90+4')
      Udogie (66')
      Perez (17'), Becao (49'), Molina (73'), Success (77')
      Dec 11, 2021 7.45pm
      Udinese
      1-1
      AC Milan
      Beto (17')
      Perez (25'), Deulofeu (55')
      Success (90+5')
      Ibrahimovic (90+2')
      Castillejo (87'), Florenzi (90+5')
      Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
      AC Milan
      1-1
      Udinese
      Kessie (90+7' pen.)
      Rebic (24'), Hernandez (32'), Romagnoli (90+2'), Kessie (90+4')
      Becao (68')
      Zeegelaar (54')
      > Preview
      Nov 1, 2020 11.30am
      Udinese
      1-2
      AC Milan
      De Paul (48' pen.)
      Becao (24'), Arslan (39')
      Kessie (18'), Ibrahimovic (83')
      Hernandez (13'), Donnarumma (49')
      Jan 19, 2020 11.30am
      AC Milan
      3-2
      Udinese
      Rebic (48', 93'), Hernandez (72')
      Bennacer (40'), Pioli (53'), Conti (63'), Ibrahimovic (80'), Castillejo (94')
      Stryger Larsen (6'), Lasagna (85')
      Sema (27')
      rhs 2.0
      Today's games header
      > View full version> Yesterday's results
      Tables header RHS
      TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
      1Napoli21162335142150
      2Inter Milan20145151183347
      3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
      4Lazio2112363728939
      5Juventus21813034171737
      6Fiorentina2096533211233
      7Bologna208933226633
      8AC Milan208752921831
      9Roma217683127427
      10Udinese217592432-826
      11Torino215882126-523
      12Genoa215881830-1223
      13Como215792634-822
      14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
      15Empoli214892028-820
      16Parma214892636-1020
      17Lecce2155111536-2120
      18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
      19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
      20Monza2127122031-1113
      > Serie A Full Table


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