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Serie A
Fiorentina logo
Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Atalanta logo

Fiorentina
1 - 1
Atalanta

Cabral (56' pen.)
Martinez (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Maehle (37')
Maehle (38'), Ederson (60'), Toloi (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-4 Fiorentina
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last Game: Atalanta 0-2 Bologna
Saturday, April 8 at 3.30pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Atalanta BC

 With Fiorentina growing in confidence in recent weeks, they will fancy their chances of heaping the pressure on their opponents. However, we are backing Atalanta to bounce back from their defeat last time out, earning a share of the spoils which will at least keep their points tally ticking over. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawAtalanta BC
47.67% (1.217 1.22) 25.3% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 27.03% (-1.197 -1.2)
Both teams to score 52.69% (-0.827 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.57% (-0.662 -0.66)50.43% (0.662 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.64% (-0.588 -0.59)72.36% (0.589 0.59)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (0.25999999999999 0.26)21.17% (-0.26 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.96% (0.404 0.4)54.04% (-0.404 -0.4)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.84% (-1.274 -1.27)33.15% (1.274 1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.24% (-1.429 -1.43)69.75% (1.431 1.43)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 47.67%
    Atalanta BC 27.03%
    Draw 25.3%
FiorentinaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.37 0.37)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.073 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.46% (0.354 0.35)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.38% (0.217 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.044 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.097 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 47.67%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.186 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.75% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.236 -0.24)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 27.03%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Atalanta

Fiorentina
55.8%
Draw
25.6%
Atalanta BC
18.6%
129
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 5pm
Atalanta
1-0
Fiorentina
Lookman (59')

Bonaventura (4')
Feb 20, 2022 11.30am
Fiorentina
1-0
Atalanta
Piatek (56')
Milenkovic (15'), Amrabat (73')

Djimsiti (13'), Malinovskyi (45+1'), Demiral (45+2'), Toloi (74'), Sportiello (90+6')
Piero Gasperini (64')
Feb 10, 2022 5pm
Quarter-Finals
Atalanta
2-3
Fiorentina
Zappacosta (30'), Boga (56')
de Roon (7'), Pasalic (32')
Piatek (9' pen., 71'), Milenkovic (90+3')
Julio (38'), Martinez (45+1')
Martinez (79')
Sep 11, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
1-2
Fiorentina
Zapata (65' pen.)
Maehle (31'), Zapata (45+2'), Gosens (76'), Freuler (86'), Luis Palomino (90+2')
Vlahovic (33' pen., 49')
Bonaventura (45+2'), Julio (56'), Milenkovic (74'), Odriozola (81')
Apr 11, 2021 7.45pm
Fiorentina
2-3
Atalanta
Vlahovic (57', 66')
Pezzella (32'), Amrabat (53'), Milenkovic (72')
Zapata (13', 40'), Ilicic (70' pen.)
Romero (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113
> Serie A Full Table


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