Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 74.36%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 9.51%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.46%) and 3-0 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Empoli |
74.36% ( 1.04) | 16.13% ( -0.62) | 9.51% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 47.22% ( 0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.58% ( 1.63) | 39.42% ( -1.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.24% ( 1.69) | 61.76% ( -1.68) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.93% ( 0.66) | 9.07% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.15% ( 1.56) | 30.85% ( -1.56) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.93% ( 0.24) | 48.07% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.72% ( 0.18) | 83.28% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Empoli |
2-0 @ 12.55% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.49) 3-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.22) 5-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.09) 6-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.81% Total : 74.34% | 1-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 16.13% | 0-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.33% Total : 9.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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