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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Empoli logo

Atalanta
2 - 1
Empoli

de Roon (58'), Hojlund (86')
Lookman (84'), Luis Palomino (88'), Ruggeri (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ebuehi (44')
Henderson (82'), Bandinelli (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Atalanta
Saturday, March 11 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Udinese
Saturday, March 11 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Empoli

Both teams are in rotten runs of form but Atalanta, buoyed by their home crowd, a much stronger squad and their veteran coach, should have enough to end their winless and goalless streak against Empoli this Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 74.36%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 9.51%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.46%) and 3-0 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawEmpoli
74.36% (1.044 1.04) 16.13% (-0.624 -0.62) 9.51% (-0.418 -0.42)
Both teams to score 47.22% (0.56 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.58% (1.633 1.63)39.42% (-1.632 -1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.24% (1.686 1.69)61.76% (-1.684 -1.68)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.93% (0.66200000000001 0.66)9.07% (-0.6611 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.15% (1.564 1.56)30.85% (-1.562 -1.56)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.93% (0.23999999999999 0.24)48.07% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.72% (0.175 0.18)83.28% (-0.173 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 74.34%
    Empoli 9.51%
    Draw 16.13%
Atalanta BCDrawEmpoli
2-0 @ 12.55% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-0 @ 10.46% (-0.49 -0.49)
3-0 @ 10.04% (0.133 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 7.36% (0.151 0.15)
4-0 @ 6.03% (0.257 0.26)
4-1 @ 4.42% (0.217 0.22)
5-0 @ 2.89% (0.205 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.073 0.07)
5-1 @ 2.12% (0.163 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.091 0.09)
6-0 @ 1.16% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 74.34%
1-1 @ 7.67% (-0.302 -0.3)
0-0 @ 4.36% (-0.341 -0.34)
2-2 @ 3.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 16.13%
0-1 @ 3.2% (-0.226 -0.23)
1-2 @ 2.81% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.17% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 9.51%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Empoli

Atalanta BC
82.5%
Draw
9.3%
Empoli
8.2%
97
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 11.30am
May 21, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 17, 2021 2pm
Empoli
1-4
Atalanta
Di Francesco (30')
Marchizza (37'), Stulac (46'), Bandinelli (67')
Ilicic (11', 26'), Viti (49' og.), Zapata (89')
Freuler (70'), Luis Palomino (80')
Apr 15, 2019 7.30pm
Atalanta
0-0
Empoli

Dell'Orco (29'), Bennacer (45'), Veseli (61')
Nov 25, 2018 2pm
Empoli
3-2
Atalanta
La Gumina (42'), Masiello (77' og.), Silvestre (90')
Veseli (24'), Maietta (67')
Freuler (33'), Hateboer (40')
Masiello (38'), Gosens (69'), Ilicic (84')
Ilicic (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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