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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 18
May 30, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio José Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
2 - 2
River Plate

Pratto (52'), Ortega (86')
Godin (31'), Gianetti (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rojas (26'), Beltran (82')
de la Cruz (43'), Solari (57'), Herrera (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and River Plate, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-0 Rosario
Tuesday, May 16 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Velez Sarsfield 0-2 River Plate

As good as Velez Sarsfield have been defensively at home, River have been far more consistent from one match to another and we expect their backline to be relatively comfortable containing an attack without much quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 26.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 1-0 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawRiver Plate
26.44% (-0.741 -0.74) 26.66% (0.396 0.4) 46.91% (0.351 0.35)
Both teams to score 48.19% (-1.691 -1.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.93% (-1.921 -1.92)56.08% (1.927 1.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.85% (-1.581 -1.58)77.15% (1.587 1.59)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.33% (-1.651 -1.65)36.67% (1.658 1.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.54% (-1.697 -1.7)73.46% (1.702 1.7)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1% (-0.66500000000001 -0.67)23.9% (0.671 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.89% (-0.964 -0.96)58.11% (0.971 0.97)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 26.44%
    River Plate 46.9%
    Draw 26.65%
Velez SarsfieldDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 8.79% (0.257 0.26)
2-1 @ 6.31% (-0.226 -0.23)
2-0 @ 4.41% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.11% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-0 @ 1.48% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 26.44%
1-1 @ 12.58% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 8.77% (0.631 0.63)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.255 -0.26)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 12.54% (0.67 0.67)
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 8.98% (0.311 0.31)
1-3 @ 4.3% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 4.28% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.167 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.54% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 46.9%

Head to Head
Jul 18, 2022 12.30am
gameweek 8
Velez Sarsfield
2-2
River Plate
Bou (20' pen.), Osorio (90+4')
Perrone (59'), Garayalde (63'), Gomez (89'), Caseres (90'), de los Santos (90')
Beltran (7'), De la Cruz (30')
Gomez (16'), Simon (25'), Zuculini (84'), Casco (87'), Quintero (90')
Jul 7, 2022 1.30am
Jun 30, 2022 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Velez Sarsfield
1-0
River Plate
Janson (15' pen.)
Perrone (21'), Gomez (41'), Pratto (70'), Medina (71')

Diaz (18')
Aug 14, 2021 10pm
Second Phase
River Plate
2-0
Velez Sarsfield
Jeremias Fernandez (50'), Romero (90')
Casco (15'), Fontana (80'), Armani (90'), Romero (90+1')

Caseres (65')
Sep 23, 2019 12am
gameweek 7
River Plate
1-2
Velez Sarsfield
Fernandez (60')
Armani (82'), Montiel (83')
Dominguez (38'), Almada (83' pen.)
Bouzat (16'), Abram (19'), Gianetti (58'), Dominguez (87')
Dominguez (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Lions
34-17
Bears
FT
Browns
6-24
Bengals
9.25pm
Patriots
@
Bills
FT
Titans
30-38
Colts
FT
Giants
7-34
Falcons
FT
Rams
19-9
Jets
FT
Cardinals
30-36
Panthers
FT
Eagles
33-36
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield27149438162251
2TalleresTalleres2713953427748
3Racing ClubRacing27144942301246
4HuracanHuracan271210528181046
5River PlateRiver Plate271110638211743
6Boca Juniors2711973023742
7IndependienteIndependiente2791352517840
8Atletico TucumanTucuman2711792827140
9UnionUnion2711792726140
10Platense2710982018239
11Independiente Rivadavia2710892325-238
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Instituto27106113231136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2781183128335
16BelgranoBelgrano2781183332135
17Deportivo Riestra2781182627-135
18TigreTigre2781092730-334
19GimnasiaGimnasia2788112123-232
20Rosario CentralRosario2788112730-332
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2771192733-632
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2787122936-731
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2777132235-1328
26Sarmiento27511111828-1026
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823


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