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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Jul 18, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio José Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
2 - 2
River Plate

Bou (20' pen.), Osorio (90+4')
Perrone (59'), Garayalde (63'), Gomez (89'), Caseres (90'), de los Santos (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Beltran (7'), de la Cruz (30')
Gomez (16'), Simon (25'), Zuculini (84'), Casco (87'), Quintero (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and River Plate, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

Last Six:
Last Game: Colon 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, July 11 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

River Plate

Last Six:
Last Game: River Plate 0-2 Godoy Cruz
Monday, July 11 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Velez Sarsfield 1-2 River Plate

 Buoyed by their cup win over Barracas Central, River Plate will head into the weekend with renewed confidence as they look to move into the top half of the table. They face a Velez side who have suffered a slump in recent weeks and we predict they will come out victorious on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawRiver Plate
30.88% (-1.501 -1.5) 27.36% (0.212 0.21) 41.76% (1.286 1.29)
Both teams to score 48.71% (-1.148 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.34% (-1.216 -1.22)56.65% (1.214 1.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.38% (-0.989 -0.99)77.62% (0.986 0.99)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49% (-1.688 -1.69)33.51% (1.685 1.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (-1.889 -1.89)70.14% (1.886 1.89)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (0.128 0.13)26.75% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.98% (0.17 0.17)62.02% (-0.172 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 30.88%
    River Plate 41.75%
    Draw 27.36%
Velez SarsfieldDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 9.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.07% (-0.302 -0.3)
2-0 @ 5.36% (-0.249 -0.25)
3-1 @ 2.58% (-0.237 -0.24)
3-0 @ 1.95% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 30.88%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.96% (0.41 0.41)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 11.81% (0.58 0.58)
1-2 @ 8.52% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 7.79% (0.41 0.41)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.43% (0.193 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 41.75%

How you voted: Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate

Velez Sarsfield
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
River Plate
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Jul 7, 2022 1.30am
River Plate
0-0
Velez Sarsfield

Romero (53'), Mammana (90+3'), Alvarez (90+5')

Garayalde (33'), Hoyos (51')
Jun 30, 2022 1.30am
Velez Sarsfield
1-0
River Plate
Janson (15' pen.)
Perrone (21'), Gomez (41'), Pratto (70'), Medina (71')

Diaz (18')
Aug 14, 2021 10pm
River Plate
2-0
Velez Sarsfield
Jeremias Fernandez (50'), Romero (90')
Casco (15'), Fontana (80'), Armani (90'), Romero (90+1')

Caseres (65')
Sep 23, 2019 12am
River Plate
1-2
Velez Sarsfield
Fernandez (60')
Armani (82'), Montiel (83')
Dominguez (38'), Almada (83' pen.)
Bouzat (16'), Abram (19'), Gianetti (58'), Dominguez (87')
Dominguez (89')
Feb 4, 2019 12.30am
Velez Sarsfield
1-2
River Plate
Barreal (91')
Laso (66'), Galdames (72')
Gimenez (84')
Borre (49'), Quintero (86' pen.)
Palacios (62'), Suarez (79')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield27149438162251
2TalleresTalleres2713953427748
3Racing ClubRacing27144942301246
4HuracanHuracan271210528181046
5River PlateRiver Plate271110638211743
6Boca Juniors2711973023742
7IndependienteIndependiente2791352517840
8Atletico TucumanTucuman2711792827140
9UnionUnion2711792726140
10Platense2710982018239
11Independiente Rivadavia2710892325-238
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Instituto27106113231136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2781183128335
16BelgranoBelgrano2781183332135
17Deportivo Riestra2781182627-135
18TigreTigre2781092730-334
19GimnasiaGimnasia2788112123-232
20Rosario CentralRosario2788112730-332
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2771192733-632
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2787122936-731
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2777132235-1328
26Sarmiento27511111828-1026
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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