MX23RW : Sunday, December 29 19:55:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 20, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio José Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
2 - 0
Rosario

Orellano (6'), Fernandez (84')
Fernandez (49'), Perrone (75'), Ortega (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gamba (64'), Torrent (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Rosario Central, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 2-0 Velez Sarsfield
Friday, June 17 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Godoy Cruz
Thursday, June 16 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Rosario Central

Velez have stumbled into the new season, picking up one point from the first nine to already sit in the lower echelons of the table. Rosario Central dug deep to secure all three points last time out and we predict they will build on that result and come out victorious on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 21.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawRosario Central
54.74% (-0.276 -0.28) 24.05% (0.156 0.16) 21.21% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 50.28% (-0.317 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.45% (-0.504 -0.5)50.55% (0.5 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.53% (-0.447 -0.45)72.47% (0.44500000000001 0.45)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.64% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)18.36% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.52% (-0.497 -0.5)49.47% (0.493 0.49)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.58% (-0.169 -0.17)38.41% (0.165 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.83% (-0.161 -0.16)75.16% (0.157 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 54.73%
    Rosario Central 21.21%
    Draw 24.04%
Velez SarsfieldDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 11.95% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 10.13% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 54.73%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.05% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.105 0.11)
1-2 @ 5.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.23% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 21.21%

Head to Head
Feb 15, 2022 10.15pm
Rosario
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
Baez (56')
Infantino (80'), Tanlongo (87'), Martinez (90+7')

Bouzat (46'), Castro (82'), Guidara (90+5')
Jul 25, 2021 7.45pm
Rosario
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
Vecchio (90+4')
Blanco (48'), Martinez (69'), Zabala (74'), Almada (79')

Ariel Fernandez (17'), Tarragona (37')
Ariel Fernandez (36')
Jan 17, 2021 1.10am
Rosario
1-3
Velez Sarsfield
Marinelli (26')
Bottinelli (43')
Bottinelli (78'), Martinez (88')
Centurion (9' pen.), Almada (82' pen.), Monzon (90+2')
Amor (37'), Martin Lucero (78')
Galdames (84')
Oct 20, 2019 9.45pm
Dec 3, 2018 10.20pm
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
Rosario
Robertone (69'), Almada (81')
Cufre (45')

Jose Gomez (2'), Arismendi (34'), Herrera (63'), Ortiz (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Cardinals
9-13
Rams
6pm
Jets
@
Bills
6pm
Panthers
@
Buccaneers
6pm
Colts
@
Giants
6pm
Titans
@
Jags
6pm
Raiders
@
Saints
9.25pm
Packers
@
Vikings
9.05pm
Dolphins
@
Browns
6pm
Cowboys
@
Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield27149438162251
2TalleresTalleres2713953427748
3Racing ClubRacing27144942301246
4HuracanHuracan271210528181046
5River PlateRiver Plate271110638211743
6Boca Juniors2711973023742
7IndependienteIndependiente2791352517840
8Atletico TucumanTucuman2711792827140
9UnionUnion2711792726140
10Platense2710982018239
11Independiente Rivadavia2710892325-238
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Instituto27106113231136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2781183128335
16BelgranoBelgrano2781183332135
17Deportivo Riestra2781182627-135
18TigreTigre2781092730-334
19GimnasiaGimnasia2788112123-232
20Rosario CentralRosario2788112730-332
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2771192733-632
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2787122936-731
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2777132235-1328
26Sarmiento27511111828-1026
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823


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