Serie A | Gameweek 28
Apr 1, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Giovanni Zini
We said: Cremonese 1-2 Atalanta BC
Likely to throw caution to the wind, with time running out to pull off a miraculous escape, Cremonese could be caught out by an Atalanta side that has not always been fluent this term but still boast several attacking threats: the visitors have registered 18 different scorers so far, and no team across Europe's top five leagues has more.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 48.31% . A win for Cremonese had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 24% .
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.78%) . The likeliest Cremonese win was 2-1 (6.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%) . The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result Cremonese Draw Atalanta BC 27.67% 24.02% 48.31%
Both teams to score 57.38%
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Cremonese 27.67%
Atalanta BC 48.31%
Draw 24.01%
Cremonese Draw Atalanta BC 2-1 @ 6.86% 1-0 @ 6.68% 2-0 @ 4.07% 3-1 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.35% 3-0 @ 1.65% Other @ 3.27% Total : 27.67% 1-1 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 5.78% 0-0 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.01% 1-2 @ 9.49% 0-1 @ 9.24% 0-2 @ 7.78% 1-3 @ 5.33% 0-3 @ 4.37% 2-3 @ 3.25% 1-4 @ 2.25% 0-4 @ 1.84% 2-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.41% Total : 48.31%
How you voted: Cremonese vs Atalanta
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rhs 2.0
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