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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lecce logo

Roma
2 - 1
Lecce

Azmoun (90+1'), Lukaku (90+4')
Sanches (76'), Llorente (89'), Lukaku (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Almqvist (72')
Banda (17'), Dorgu (27'), Ramadani (77'), Touba (81'), Espeto (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Roma
Sunday, October 29 at 5pm in Serie A

Lecce

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-4 Parma
Wednesday, November 1 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Roma 1-0 Lecce

 Since being shocked by Genoa in September, Roma have seen off several opponents of relatively modest stature, only having their limitations exposed by Scudetto favourites Inter last time out. As Lecce's early spurt of form has waned, they are also unlikely to record just a second Serie A win over their fellow Giallorossi on Rome soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 64.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 12.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.09%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawLecce
64.6% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 22.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 12.91% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Both teams to score 39.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.09% (-0.012 -0.01)56.91% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.17% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)77.82% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.88% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)17.12% (0.0089999999999968 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.66% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)47.33% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.13% (0.00099999999999767 0)52.87% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.43%86.56%
Score Analysis
    Roma 64.59%
    Lecce 12.91%
    Draw 22.48%
RomaDrawLecce
1-0 @ 15.97%
2-0 @ 14.09%
2-1 @ 8.99%
3-0 @ 8.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 3.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.69%
5-0 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 64.59%
1-1 @ 10.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.05% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-2 @ 2.86%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.48%
0-1 @ 5.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 3.24%
0-2 @ 1.84% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 12.91%

How you voted: Roma vs Lecce

Roma
86.7%
Draw
10.0%
Lecce
3.3%
60
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 22
Lecce
1-1
Roma
Ibanez (7' og.)
Dybala (17' pen.)
> Preview
Oct 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Roma
2-1
Lecce
Smalling (6'), Dybala (48' pen.)
Espeto (39')
> Preview
Jan 20, 2022 8pm
Final
Roma
3-1
Lecce
Kumbulla (40'), Abraham (54'), Shomurodov (81')
Afena-Gyan (38'), Ibanez (71'), Abraham (76')
Calabresi (14')
Listkowski (12'), Johann Helgason (44'), Di Mariano (45+1'), Gargiulo (60')
Gargiulo (62')
> Preview
Feb 23, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 25
Roma
4-0
Lecce
Under (13'), Mkhitaryan (37'), Dzeko (69'), Kolarov (80')
Mancini (49')
Sep 29, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 6
Lecce
0-1
Roma

Lucioni (79'), Rispoli (84')
Dzeko (56')
Pellegrini (19'), Mkhitaryan (25'), Smalling (49'), Cristante (96')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810
> Serie A Full Table


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