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Serie A | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Frosinone logo

Roma
2 - 0
Frosinone

Lukaku (21'), Pellegrini (83')
Karsdorp (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Barrenechea (46'), Soule (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 4-1 Roma
Thursday, September 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 1-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-1 Frosinone

Disjointed displays and dismal results have led to piles of pressure on Roma to collect three points on Sunday. Their modest visitors from nearby Frosinone will not roll over, though, and with some astute coaching and a sprinkling of on-loan talent they can frustrate their illustrious hosts at the Olimpico. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 49.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawFrosinone
49.86% (0.474 0.47) 25.84% (-0.128 -0.13) 24.3% (-0.342 -0.34)
Both teams to score 48.65% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.46% (0.219 0.22)54.54% (-0.215 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.11% (0.181 0.18)75.89% (-0.179 -0.18)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.09% (0.29799999999999 0.3)21.91% (-0.296 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.82% (0.45 0.45)55.17% (-0.447 -0.45)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.3% (-0.185 -0.18)37.69% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.53% (-0.184 -0.18)74.47% (0.187 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Roma 49.85%
    Frosinone 24.3%
    Draw 25.84%
RomaDrawFrosinone
1-0 @ 12.53%
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.089 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.82% (0.087 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.83% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 49.85%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 5.97% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 24.3%

How you voted: Roma vs Frosinone

Roma
65.6%
Draw
23.4%
Frosinone
10.9%
64
Head to Head
Feb 23, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 25
Frosinone
2-3
Roma
Ciano (5'), Pinamonti (80')
Goldaniga (68'), Cassata (78')
Dzeko (30', 90'), Pellegrini (31')
El Shaarawy (39'), Dzeko (42')
Sep 26, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 6
Roma
4-0
Frosinone
Under (2'), Pastore (28'), El Shaarawy (35'), Kolarov (87')

Campbell (90')
Jan 30, 2016 7.45pm
Roma
3-1
Frosinone
Nainggolan (18'), El Shaarawy (48'), Pjanic (84')
Manolas (41')
Ciofani (24')
Ajeti (15'), Dionisi (64')
Sep 12, 2015 5pm
Frosinone
0-2
Roma

Diakite (40'), Pavlovic (65'), Rosi (76'), Leali (94')
Falque (44'), Iturbe (93')
Falque (27'), Totti (38'), De Rossi (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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