We said: Roma 3-1 Servette
Roma have underwhelmed massively so far, but like in the last two European campaigns, matches on the continent have provided much-needed respite.
Servette's start has arguably been even worse, and they are already playing catchup, and another defeat here will make progression seem extremely unlikely even at this early stage.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Servette had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Servette win it was 1-2 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.