Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 50.84%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 25.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Juventus |
50.84% ( -0.05) | 24.08% | 25.08% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 54.82% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.21% ( 0.04) | 46.79% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.95% ( 0.04) | 69.05% ( -0.04) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.57% ( -0.01) | 18.43% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.41% ( -0) | 49.59% ( 0) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.21% ( 0.06) | 32.79% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.65% ( 0.07) | 69.35% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 50.83% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.08% | 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 25.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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