We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Portsmouth
With a hostile Hawthorns crowd behind them on Mowbray's return, West Brom will be expecting a return to winning ways against relegation-threatened Portsmouth.
Pompey have been excellent at Fratton Park in recent times but have won just one away game all season, and we do not envisage the visitors adding to that tally in the Black Country this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 64.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 13.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.52%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.