MX23RW : Saturday, April 26 21:14:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Dortmund logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Werder Bremen logo

Dortmund
2 - 2
Werder Bremen

Guirassy (28'), Friedl (51' og.)
Ryerson (10')
Schlotterbeck (21')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bittencourt (65'), Ducksch (72')
Bittencourt (63'), Njinmah (79'), Stage (87'), Friedl (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Dortmund
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-2 Augsburg
Sunday, January 19 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Werder Bremen

Dortmund fans will expect a reaction from their players after a series of poor performances, and they may benefit from the new manager bounce. However, Werder Bremen have been prolific in front of goal in recent matchweeks, and BVB will have their work cut out to keep them at bay on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 56.92%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.59% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 3-1 (6.86%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawWerder Bremen
56.92% (0.171 0.17) 20.48% (-0.072999999999997 -0.07) 22.59% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 64.49% (0.137 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.28% (0.235 0.23)32.71% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.6% (0.269 0.27)54.39% (-0.271 -0.27)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.47% (0.122 0.12)11.53% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.57% (0.263 0.26)36.43% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.9% (0.052999999999997 0.05)27.1% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.52% (0.072000000000003 0.07)62.48% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 56.92%
    Werder Bremen 22.59%
    Draw 20.48%
Borussia DortmundDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.29% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.86% (0.024 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.75% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.25% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.48% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.7% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.84% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.42% (0.024 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.6% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.23% (0.015 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.05% (0.012 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.05% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 56.92%
1-1 @ 8.81% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.21% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 3.12% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.95% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 20.48%
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.08% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.66% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 22.59%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

Borussia Dortmund
75.7%
Draw
16.2%
Werder Bremen
8.1%
37
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Werder Bremen
0-0
Dortmund
Weiser (41'), Friedl (59')
Anton (29'), Sule (34'), Ryerson (48'), Schlotterbeck (53'), Bensebaini (85'), Gross (90+1')
Schlotterbeck (73')
Mar 9, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 25
Werder Bremen
1-2
Dortmund
Njinmah (70')
Schmid (77')
Malen (21'), Sancho (38')
Schlotterbeck (78'), Adeyemi (90+5')
Sabitzer (45+1')
Oct 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Dortmund
1-0
Werder Bremen
Brandt (67')
Nmecha (44')

Bittencourt (61'), Stage (75'), Veljkovic (83'), Deman (90+4'), Ducksch (90+5')
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Dortmund
2-3
Werder Bremen
Brandt (45+2'), Guerreiro (77')
Modeste (39'), Can (42'), Wolf (83'), Reus (90+1')
Buchanan (89'), Schmidt (90+3'), Burke (90+5')
Fullkrug (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen30136114854-645
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3098133044-1435
14St Pauli3086162636-1030
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3055202962-3320


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!