MX23RW : Monday, February 10 21:44:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Leipzig logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 12, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Werder Bremen logo

RB Leipzig
4 - 2
Werder Bremen

Simons (24', 35'), Sesko (47'), Baumgartner (90')
Haidara (82')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Weiser (26'), Burke (90+3')
Friedl (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 5-1 RB Leipzig
Friday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 4-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 1-1 Werder Bremen

RB Leipzig's defensive record in the past weeks is alarming, and it is difficult to see them preventing Werder Bremen from scoring. However, the hosts' strong form at home should make them favourites on Sunday, and they are likely to at least avoid defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 48.42%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawWerder Bremen
48.42% (0.891 0.89) 23% (-0.21 -0.21) 28.58% (-0.68 -0.68)
Both teams to score 61.68% (0.258 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.85% (0.554 0.55)39.14% (-0.55399999999999 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.52% (0.577 0.58)61.47% (-0.579 -0.58)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55% (0.54300000000001 0.54)16.45% (-0.543 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.86% (0.96899999999999 0.97)46.14% (-0.969 -0.97)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.82% (-0.173 -0.17)26.17% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.74% (-0.23 -0.23)61.26% (0.229 0.23)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 48.42%
    Werder Bremen 28.58%
    Draw 22.99%
RB LeipzigDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.77% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.01% (0.073 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.66% (0.133 0.13)
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.119 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.07 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.55% (0.104 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.087 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.71% (0.062 0.06)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 48.42%
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 6.3% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 6.98% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-1 @ 5.77% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.87% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 28.58%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Werder Bremen

RB Leipzig
67.2%
Draw
23.9%
Werder Bremen
9.0%
67
Head to Head
May 11, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
RB Leipzig
1-1
Werder Bremen
Sesko (61')
Henrichs (28')
Seiwald (35' og.)
Dec 19, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Werder Bremen
1-1
RB Leipzig
Njinmah (75')
Gross (59'), Bittencourt (66'), Njinmah (84'), Ducksch (90+1')
Openda (47')
Kampl (68'), Haidara (90+1')
May 14, 2023 4.30pm
Nov 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Werder Bremen
1-2
RB Leipzig
Gross (57')
Silva (13'), Schlager (71')
Apr 30, 2021 7.30pm
Semi-Finals
Werder Bremen
1-2
RB Leipzig
Bittencourt (105+1')
Hee-chan (93'), Forsberg (120+1')
Haidara (35'), Kampl (99'), Gulacsi (101')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern21173165194654
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen21137149272246
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt21116446281839
4RB Leipzig2110653629736
5Stuttgart2110563931835
6Freiburg2110382836-833
7Mainz 05Mainz219573324932
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach219483331231
9Wolfsburg218674335830
10Werder Bremen218673439-530
11Borussia DortmundDortmund218583736129
12Augsburg217682435-1127
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin216692027-724
14St Pauli2163121824-621
15Hoffenheim2146112644-1818
16Heidenheim2142152543-1814
17Holstein Kiel2134143354-2113
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum2125141946-2711


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!