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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Rotherham logo

Burton Albion
4 - 2
Rotherham

Dadi Bodvarsson (8', 41'), Sweeney (39'), McKiernan (47')
McKiernan (27'), Armer (67')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Sibley (2'), Green (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Burton Albion
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 4-2 Charlton
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-2 Rotherham United

Burton Albion should have some much-needed confidence from their return to winning ways on Tuesday, but they face a tough test against a Rotherham United side who finally appear to be making their quality count. Growing in momentum under Evans, we back the Millers to leave the Pirelli Stadium with three more points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 45.69%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 25.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawRotherham United
25.38% (-0.103 -0.1) 28.93% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 45.69% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 41.48% (-0.116 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.77% (-0.103 -0.1)64.23% (0.102 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.65% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)83.35% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.81% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)42.18% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.4% (-0.136 -0.14)78.6% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)28.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)63.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 25.37%
    Rotherham United 45.69%
    Draw 28.92%
Burton AlbionDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 10.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.61% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.44% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.61% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 25.37%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 11.91% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.55% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 28.92%
0-1 @ 15.06% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 9.52% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.01% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 45.69%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Rotherham

Burton Albion
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Rotherham United
60.0%
15
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Rotherham
2-2
Burton Albion
Clarke-Harris (39'), C (57')
Odofin (74')
Orsi (25'), Cooper Love (71')
Vancooten (54')
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 44
Burton Albion
2-0
Rotherham
Borthwick-Jackson (3'), Brayford (69')
Kokolo (45'), Hamer (73')

Wood (52'), Rathbone (68')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Rotherham
3-1
Burton Albion
Ladapo (24', 48'), Barlaser (84')
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 31
Rotherham
3-2
Burton Albion
Smith (9', 46'), Ladapo (71')
Ladapo (93')
Murphy (7'), Sarkic (47')
Sarkic (32')
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


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