National League South | Gameweek 28
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
Hornchurch Stadium
Hornchurch0 - 1Dorking
FT(HT: 0-1)
Briggs (22')
Coverage of the National League South clash between AFC Hornchurch and Dorking Wanderers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-1 Hornchurch
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
27
Last Game: Dorking 1-3 Weston
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
55
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 56.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for an AFC Hornchurch win it was 1-0 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dorking Wanderers in this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Hornchurch | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
20.15% ( 0.69) | 23.08% ( 1.03) | 56.77% ( -1.72) |
| Both teams to score 51.7% ( -2.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
