Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Yeovil Town |
47.29% ( 0.92) | 25.58% ( -0.02) | 27.13% ( -0.89) |
Both teams to score 51.91% ( -0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.5% ( -0.44) | 51.5% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.7% ( -0.38) | 73.3% ( 0.38) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.22% ( 0.23) | 21.78% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.02% ( 0.35) | 54.98% ( -0.35) |
Yeovil Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.36% ( -0.93) | 33.64% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.71% ( -1.03) | 70.29% ( 1.03) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Yeovil Town |
1-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 47.28% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.35% Total : 27.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 57 | 30 | 27 | 57 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 56 |
3 | York City | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 45 |
6 | Rochdale | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 42 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 41 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Eastleigh | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 38 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
15 | Tamworth | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 25 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 21 | 65 | -44 | 12 |
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