National League | Gameweek 21
Dec 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Spotland Stadium
Rochdale3 - 0Tamworth
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dag & Red 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in National League
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in National League
Goals
for
for
28
We said: Rochdale 2-1 Tamworth
Tamworth are capable of making this a tricky match for Rochdale, and we are not expecting it to be a routine home success for the Dale, but McNulty's side should be able to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 53.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Tamworth had a probability of 23.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Tamworth win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Tamworth |
53.64% ( -0.32) | 23.27% ( 0.44) | 23.08% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 55.21% ( -1.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.78% ( -2.1) | 45.22% ( 2.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.44% ( -2.04) | 67.56% ( 2.04) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.2% ( -0.86) | 16.79% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.24% ( -1.57) | 46.76% ( 1.56) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.35% ( -1.27) | 33.65% ( 1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.7% ( -1.41) | 70.3% ( 1.41) |
| Score Analysis |
Rochdale 53.64%
Tamworth 23.08%
Draw 23.27%
| Rochdale | Draw | Tamworth |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.1% Total : 53.64% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.3) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.49)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.27% | 0-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.27% Total : 23.08% |
How you voted: Rochdale vs Tamworth
Rochdale
75.0%Draw
16.7%Tamworth
8.3%12
Form Guide
