MX23RW : Friday, January 17 13:08:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Derby logo

Cardiff
vs.
Derby

Coverage of the Championship clash between Cardiff City and Derby County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Watford
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Next Game: Cardiff vs. Swansea
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-1 Derby (6-5 pen.)
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Next Game: Derby vs. Watford
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 29.65% and a draw has a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Derby County win is 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.69%).

Result
Cardiff CityDrawDerby County
43.57% (-1.239 -1.24) 26.77% (0.080000000000002 0.08) 29.65% (1.155 1.16)
Both teams to score 49.9% (0.41 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.13% (0.217 0.22)54.87% (-0.22 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.84% (0.179 0.18)76.16% (-0.18300000000001 -0.18)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01% (-0.51900000000001 -0.52)24.99% (0.515 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.35% (-0.722 -0.72)59.64% (0.719 0.72)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.52% (0.996 1)33.47% (-1 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.89% (1.077 1.08)70.1% (-1.081 -1.08)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 43.56%
    Derby County 29.65%
    Draw 26.77%
Cardiff CityDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 11.59% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 8.8% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.04% (-0.315 -0.32)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.72% (-0.204 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 43.56%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.37% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.16% (0.169 0.17)
1-2 @ 6.95% (0.212 0.21)
0-2 @ 5.01% (0.225 0.23)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.143 0.14)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.129 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 29.65%

Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
Derby
1-0
Cardiff
Goudmijn (28')
Adams (20'), Mendez-Laing (69')

Bagan (56'), Fish (61'), Ralls (65')
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Derby
0-1
Cardiff

Thompson (73')
Hugill (55')
Ng (69'), Harris (81')
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Cardiff
1-0
Derby
Ikpeazu (85')
Davies (26'), Doughty (90+2')

Buchanan (52'), Davies (62'), Bird (80'), Ebosele (90+3')
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 34
Cardiff
4-0
Derby
Bacuna (22', 56'), Moore (48'), Vaulks (90+3')
Oct 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Derby
1-1
Cardiff
Waghorn (24')
Jozwiak (82'), Shinnie (86'), te Wierik (90')
Moore (77')
Morrison (82'), Ojo (90+1'), Bacuna (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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