Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arbroath win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Kelty Hearts has a probability of 26.8% and a draw has a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win is 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.74%).
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
48.43% ( 0.61) | 24.76% ( -0.18) | 26.8% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 54.2% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.63% ( 0.48) | 48.36% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.49% ( 0.43) | 70.5% ( -0.43) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.99% ( 0.45) | 20.01% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.79% ( 0.72) | 52.2% ( -0.72) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.76% ( -0.09) | 32.24% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.27% ( -0.1) | 68.73% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
1-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.84% Total : 48.42% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.76% | 0-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.63% Total : 26.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 34 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 32 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 31 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 29 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 28 |
7 | Montrose | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 24 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 20 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Dumbarton | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 7 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |