Scottish League One | Gameweek 15
Dec 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
New Central Park
Kelty Hearts3 - 2Arbroath
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Kelty Hearts and Arbroath.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cove Rangers 0-0 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: Inverness 0-2 Arbroath
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Goals
for
for
21
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Arbroath |
35.9% ( -1.31) | 25.46% ( 0.36) | 38.64% ( 0.96) |
| Both teams to score 56.08% ( -1.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
