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Premier League | Gameweek 23
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
Broadfield Stadium
Everton logo

Brighton
vs.
Everton

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-3 Brighton
Sunday, January 19 at 2pm in Premier League

Everton

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Everton 3-2 Spurs
Sunday, January 19 at 2pm in Premier League

We say: Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Everton

 The stats suggest this will be a difficult afternoon for Everton, who have won just one of their last 21 away Premier League games, and Moyes has only ever enjoyed one win over the Seagulls in 10 previous meetings. Brighton are back in form and full of confidence, scoring goals at will and collecting maximum points, and they will be favourites to do so again this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 58.97%. A draw has a probability of 21.1% and a win for Everton has a probability of 19.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.07%) and 1-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Everton win it is 1-2 (5.34%).

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawEverton
58.97% (-1.161 -1.16) 21.14% (0.187 0.19) 19.88% (0.971 0.97)
Both teams to score 57.73% (1.087 1.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.34% (0.617 0.62)39.65% (-0.622 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.99% (0.64 0.64)62% (-0.643 -0.64)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.84% (-0.148 -0.15)13.15% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.15% (-0.29499999999999 -0.29)39.84% (0.29000000000001 0.29)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.48% (1.358 1.36)33.51% (-1.364 -1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.84% (1.459 1.46)70.15% (-1.463 -1.46)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 58.97%
    Everton 19.88%
    Draw 21.14%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawEverton
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.07% (-0.367 -0.37)
1-0 @ 8.94% (-0.311 -0.31)
3-1 @ 6.7% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.13% (-0.282 -0.28)
3-2 @ 3.66% (0.105 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.4% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.11% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.044 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.38% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.26% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 58.97%
1-1 @ 9.78% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.184 0.18)
0-0 @ 4.41% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.14%
1-2 @ 5.34% (0.21 0.21)
0-1 @ 4.82% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.64% (0.117 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.137 0.14)
1-3 @ 1.95% (0.144 0.14)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 19.88%

Who will win Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton and Everton?

Brighton & Hove Albion
Draw
Everton
Brighton & Hove Albion
42.1%
Draw
21.1%
Everton
36.8%
19
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 1
Everton
0-3
Brighton

Tarkowski (77')
Young (66')
Mitoma (25'), Welbeck (56'), Adingra (86')
Milner (31')
> Match Report
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Brighton
1-1
Everton
Dunk (90+5')
De Zerbi (54'), Paul van Hecke (70'), Gross (73')
Gilmour (81')
Branthwaite (73')
Tarkowski (33'), Beto (90+1'), Onana (90+2')
> Match Report
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Everton
1-1
Brighton
Mykolenko (7')
Gueye (43'), Doucoure (54'), Branthwaite (77'), Tarkowski (81')
Young (84' og.)
Gilmour (20'), Dunk (23')
> Match Report
May 8, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 35
Brighton
1-5
Everton
Mac Allister (79')
Doucoure (1', 29'), Steele (35' og.), McNeil (76', 90+6')
> Match Report
Jan 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Everton
1-4
Brighton
Gray (90+2' pen.)
Mitoma (14'), Ferguson (51'), March (54'), Gross (57')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356
> Premier League Full Table


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