Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 68.8%. A draw has a probability of 19.4% and a win for Casa Pia has a probability of 11.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 0-2 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (12.84%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Casa Pia win it is 1-0 (4.45%).
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Benfica |
11.81% ( -0.04) | 19.39% ( -0.03) | 68.8% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 44.55% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.47% ( 0.06) | 47.53% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.26% ( 0.05) | 69.74% ( -0.05) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.05% ( -0.03) | 48.95% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.08% ( -0.02) | 83.92% ( 0.02) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.27% ( 0.03) | 12.73% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.03% ( 0.08) | 38.97% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 11.81% | 1-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.38% ( -0) Other @ 0.61% Total : 19.39% | 0-2 @ 13.23% 0-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0) 0-3 @ 9.1% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.5% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 4.69% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.38% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 68.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |