MX23RW : Saturday, April 26 20:12:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Millwall logo

Luton
0 - 1
Millwall


Andersen (74'), Walsh (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ivanovic (61')
Saville (71'), Cooper (74'), Honeyman (88'), Tanganga (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-2 Luton
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-2 Cardiff
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Millwall

Both of these sides are still searching for their first league victory under their new managers, although Millwall's wait has been considerably longer. With Luton performing better in their home games this season, we think they can grab a much-needed win this weekend against the Lions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawMillwall
40.58% (0.172 0.17) 28.8% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 30.62% (-0.226 -0.23)
Both teams to score 44.6% (-0.224 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.23% (-0.242 -0.24)61.77% (0.243 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.43% (-0.178 -0.18)81.56% (0.181 0.18)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)29.85% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.06% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)65.94% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.57% (-0.302 -0.3)36.42% (0.302 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79% (-0.306 -0.31)73.21% (0.30699999999999 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 40.58%
    Millwall 30.62%
    Draw 28.79%
Luton TownDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 13.14% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.95% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 40.58%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.87% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.79%
0-1 @ 10.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 30.62%

How you voted: Luton vs Millwall

Luton Town
57.5%
Draw
20.0%
Millwall
22.5%
40
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Millwall
0-1
Luton

De Norre (22'), Hutchinson (90+5')
Mengi (10')
Mengi (41'), Kaminski (85'), Doughty (89')
Apr 7, 2023 12.30pm
Feb 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 23
Luton
2-2
Millwall
Adebayo (58'), Berry (87')
Flemming (4'), Bradshaw (52')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Luton
2-2
Millwall
Adebayo (33'), Cooper (87' og.)
Bradshaw (25'), Afobe (81')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Millwall
0-2
Luton

Cooper (69')
Cornick (11', 53')
Clark (72'), Naismith (83'), Bree (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Burnley452716266155197
2Leeds UnitedLeeds442713489296094
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City441716115749867
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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