Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 77.24%. A draw has a probability of 14.4% and a win for Nacional has a probability of 8.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (10.32%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Nacional win it is 0-1 (2.61%).
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Nacional |
77.24% ( 0) | 14.41% ( -0) | 8.36% |
Both teams to score 48.74% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.17% ( 0) | 34.83% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.2% ( 0) | 56.81% ( -0) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.64% | 7.36% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.44% ( 0) | 26.56% ( -0) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.61% ( -0) | 47.39% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.22% ( -0) | 82.78% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Nacional |
2-0 @ 11.87% 3-0 @ 10.32% 1-0 @ 9.1% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.87% 3-1 @ 7.71% 4-0 @ 6.74% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.03% 5-0 @ 3.51% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.88% 5-1 @ 2.62% 4-2 @ 1.88% 6-0 @ 1.53% 6-1 @ 1.14% 5-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.06% Total : 77.23% | 1-1 @ 6.8% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.49% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 14.41% | 0-1 @ 2.61% 1-2 @ 2.54% 0-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.24% Total : 8.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
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