Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 60.86%. A win for Chelsea has a probability of 20.36% and a draw has a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Chelsea win is 1-2 (5.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.53%).