Valladolid0 - 3Real Madrid
The Match
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 64.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 14.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.39%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Real Madrid |
14.86% ( -0.24) | 20.41% ( -0.22) | 64.73% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 49.77% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.91% ( 0.46) | 45.09% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.56% ( 0.44) | 67.44% ( -0.43) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.32% ( -0.06) | 42.68% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.98% ( -0.05) | 79.02% ( 0.05) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.83% ( 0.28) | 13.17% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.13% ( 0.56) | 39.87% ( -0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.55% Total : 14.86% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.9% Total : 20.41% | 0-2 @ 11.55% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.11)1-2 @ 9.83% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.81% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 6.65% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 3.96% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 3.37% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.6% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.37% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.94% Total : 64.73% |
How you voted: Valladolid vs Real Madrid
