Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.