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Women's Super League | Gameweek 9
Dec 8, 2024 at 12pm UK
Leigh Sports Village Stadium

Man Utd
4 - 0
Liverpool

Terland (33'), Galton (34'), Bloodworth (59'), Malard (81')
Le Tissier (70'), Feyishayo Awujo (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Matthews (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester United Women and Liverpool Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United Women

All competitions
Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Man Utd
Sunday, November 24 at 12pm in Women's Super League

Liverpool Women

All competitions
Last Game: Everton 1-0 Liverpool
Sunday, November 17 at 3pm in Women's Super League

We said: Manchester United Women 2-1 Liverpool Women

 Man United may have lost their last two league games against Liverpool, but they have already beaten the Reds at Leigh Sports Village this season, recording a 2-0 victory in October's Women's League Cup match. The hosts will take confidence from that successful outing, and we think that they will have the extra quality required to claim a narrow victory on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Liverpool Women win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.

Result
Manchester United WomenDrawLiverpool Women
47.6% (0.303 0.3) 24.17% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 28.23% (-0.271 -0.27)
Both teams to score 57.29% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.19% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)44.81% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.83% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)67.17% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.05% (0.114 0.11)18.94% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.54% (0.192 0.19)50.46% (-0.195 -0.2)
Liverpool Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69% (-0.203 -0.2)29.31% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.71% (-0.248 -0.25)65.29% (0.246 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United Women 47.6%
    Liverpool Women 28.23%
    Draw 24.16%
Manchester United WomenDrawLiverpool Women
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.24% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.69% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.23% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.26% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.18% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.77% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 47.6%
1-1 @ 11.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.16%
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.81% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.85% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 28.23%

How you voted: Man Utd vs Liverpool

Manchester United Women
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Liverpool Women
0.0%
5
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