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Women's Super League | Gameweek 4
Oct 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Anfield

Liverpool
1 - 2
Man City

Smith (41')
Hobinger (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Shaw (58', 90+2')
Shaw (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Liverpool Women and Manchester City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool Women

All competitions
Last Game: Spurs 2-3 Liverpool
Sunday, October 6 at 2.15pm in Women's Super League

Manchester City Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City 2-0 Barcelona
Wednesday, October 9 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Liverpool Women 1-2 Manchester City Women

 Liverpool have enough talent in their ranks to cause Man City one or two problems, but the visitors usually perform well on their travels, and we think that they will edge out their hosts to record a ninth win in 10 WSL away matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 68.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 13.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 2-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester City Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City Women.

Result
Liverpool WomenDrawManchester City Women
13.49% (0.328 0.33) 18.29% (0.235 0.23) 68.21% (-0.563 -0.56)
Both teams to score 53.38% (0.123 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.52% (-0.318 -0.32)38.47% (0.32 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.23% (-0.337 -0.34)60.76% (0.337 0.34)
Liverpool Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.51% (0.28400000000001 0.28)40.48% (-0.285 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.9% (0.254 0.25)77.09% (-0.253 -0.25)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.7% (-0.224 -0.22)10.3% (0.225 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.28% (-0.51400000000001 -0.51)33.72% (0.514 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool Women 13.49%
    Manchester City Women 68.21%
    Draw 18.29%
Liverpool WomenDrawManchester City Women
2-1 @ 3.88% (0.081 0.08)
1-0 @ 3.77% (0.086 0.09)
2-0 @ 1.71% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.33% (0.025 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.17% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 13.49%
1-1 @ 8.57% (0.113 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.4% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.17% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.29%
0-2 @ 10.77% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.74% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 9.48% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 8.16% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-3 @ 7.38% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-4 @ 4.64% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-4 @ 4.19% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-5 @ 2.11% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-5 @ 1.91% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 4.6%
Total : 68.21%

How you voted: Liverpool vs Man City

Liverpool Women
9.1%
Draw
0.0%
Manchester City Women
90.9%
11
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 18
Liverpool
1-4
Man City
Keating (84' og.)
Bo Kearns (72'), Holland (79')
Hemp (16'), Park (22'), Shaw (24', 50')
> Preview
Jan 21, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Man City
5-1
Liverpool
Bonner (19' og.), Shaw (32', 45+7', 56'), Kelly (78' pen.)
Hinds (15')
Fisk (48'), Micah (75')
> Preview
May 7, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 20
Liverpool
2-1
Man City
Dowie (16'), Bo Kearns (47')
Hemp (28')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 6
Man City
2-1
Liverpool
Shaw (21'), Raso (75')
Stengel (33')
> Preview
Mar 22, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 11
Liverpool
P-P
Man City
rhs 2.0
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