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Women's Super League | Gameweek 18
Mar 30, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Prenton Park

Liverpool Women
1 - 4
Man City Women

Keating (84' og.)
Bo Kearns (72'), Holland (79')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Hemp (16'), Park (22'), Shaw (24', 50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Liverpool Women and Manchester City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton Ladies 0-0 Liverpool Women
Sunday, March 24 at 1pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 3-1 Man Utd Women
Saturday, March 23 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Liverpool Women 1-2 Manchester City Women

Having avoided defeat in their last five league games, Liverpool should provide Man City with a tough test at Prenton Park. However, the Citizens have emerged victorious from each of their previous 11 league games, and we think that the title-chasers will do enough to continue that run with a narrow win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 72.94%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 10.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.51%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-0 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
Liverpool WomenDrawManchester City Women
10.64% (-0.229 -0.23) 16.42% (-0.093 -0.09) 72.94% (0.324 0.32)
Both teams to score 50.74% (-0.548 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.81% (-0.261 -0.26)37.19% (0.26300000000001 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.6% (-0.285 -0.29)59.4% (0.286 0.29)
Liverpool Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.66% (-0.603 -0.6)44.34% (0.605 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.6% (-0.494 -0.49)80.4% (0.496 0.5)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.15% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)8.85% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.7% (0.018000000000001 0.02)30.3% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool Women 10.64%
    Manchester City Women 72.94%
    Draw 16.42%
Liverpool WomenDrawManchester City Women
1-0 @ 3.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 3.15% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 1.3% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.03% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 10.64%
1-1 @ 7.74% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.05 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 16.42%
0-2 @ 11.53% (0.16 0.16)
0-1 @ 9.51% (0.125 0.13)
1-2 @ 9.38% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 9.33% (0.13 0.13)
1-3 @ 7.58% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-4 @ 5.65% (0.081 0.08)
1-4 @ 4.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-5 @ 2.74% (0.04 0.04)
1-5 @ 2.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.87% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-6 @ 1.11% (0.016 0.02)
2-5 @ 0.91% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-6 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 72.94%

Head to Head
Jan 21, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Man City Women
5-1
Liverpool Women
Bonner (19' og.), Shaw (32', 45+7', 56'), Kelly (78' pen.)
Hinds (15')
Fisk (48'), Micah (75')
May 7, 2023 2pm
Oct 30, 2022 2pm
Mar 22, 2020 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


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