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Women's Super League | Gameweek 21
May 5, 2024 at 2.15pm UK
Academy Stadium

Man City Women
1 - 2
Arsenal Women

Hemp (17')
Coombs (36'), Ouahabi (74'), Hemp (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Blackstenius (89', 90+2')
Lacasse (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester City Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Women 0-4 Man City Women
Sunday, April 28 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Everton Ladies 1-1 Arsenal Women
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Manchester City Women 2-1 Arsenal Women

Man City may be without their top scorer, but they still possess an array of attacking quality, and we think that they will continue their fine run of form by claiming a narrow victory in Sunday's clash with Arsenal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.22%) and 2-0 (5.36%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawArsenal Women
41.2% (-1.41 -1.41) 22.9% (0.367 0.37) 35.9% (1.038 1.04)
Both teams to score 65.53% (-1.184 -1.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.48% (-1.64 -1.64)35.52% (1.637 1.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.43% (-1.839 -1.84)57.57% (1.835 1.84)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.15% (-1.244 -1.24)17.84% (1.239 1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.4% (-2.186 -2.19)48.6% (2.182 2.18)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.76% (-0.235 -0.23)20.24% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.43% (-0.37 -0.37)52.57% (0.366 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 41.2%
    Arsenal Women 35.9%
    Draw 22.9%
Manchester City WomenDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-0 @ 6.22% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 5.36% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.235 -0.24)
3-2 @ 3.93% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.194 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.168 -0.17)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-3 @ 0.9% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 41.2%
1-1 @ 9.94% (0.346 0.35)
2-2 @ 6.85% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
0-0 @ 3.61% (0.289 0.29)
3-3 @ 2.09% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.9%
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.222 0.22)
0-1 @ 5.77% (0.424 0.42)
0-2 @ 4.61% (0.308 0.31)
1-3 @ 4.23% (0.088 0.09)
2-3 @ 3.65% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.45% (0.148 0.15)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 35.9%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Arsenal Women
2-1
Man City Women
Catley (14'), Blackstenius (87')
Walti (6'), Lacasse (7'), Pelova (34'), Foord (53'), McCabe (90+9')
Kelly (72')
Hemp (13'), Keating (18'), Ouahabi (35')
Apr 2, 2023 12.30pm
Feb 11, 2023 12.30pm
Jan 23, 2022 6.45pm
Gameweek 13
Man City Women
1-1
Arsenal Women
Shaw (65')
Stanway (16'), Hemp (33'), Weir (90'), Walsh (90+6')
Heath (90+2')
McCabe (32'), Parris (55'), Miedema (83')
Sep 26, 2021 6.45pm
Gameweek 3
Arsenal Women
5-0
Man City Women
Miedema (10'), Little (23', 78' pen.), McCabe (60'), Williamson (90+4')
Maritz (67')

Stokes (45+3')
rhs 2.0
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