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Women's Super League | Gameweek 5
Nov 5, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Colney Training Centre

Arsenal Women
2 - 1
Man City Women

Catley (14'), Blackstenius (87')
Walti (6'), Lacasse (7'), Pelova (34'), Foord (53'), McCabe (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kelly (72')
Hemp (13'), Keating (18'), Ouahabi (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Manchester City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Bristol Women 1-2 Arsenal Women
Sunday, October 22 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League

Manchester City Women

All competitions
Last Game: Leicester Women 0-1 Man City Women
Saturday, October 21 at 5.15pm in Women's Super League

We said: Arsenal Women 1-1 Manchester City Women

 Arsenal will be desperate to close the three-point gap to Man City this weekend, but with the Citizens proving to be a tough team to beat, we think that the hosts will have to settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawManchester City Women
30.35% (-0.055 -0.05) 24.81% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 44.84% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.5% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.53% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)46.46% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.25% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)68.74% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.32% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)28.67% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.5% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)64.49% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.21% (0.015000000000001 0.02)20.78% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57% (0.027999999999999 0.03)53.43% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 30.35%
    Manchester City Women 44.84%
    Draw 24.8%
Arsenal WomenDrawManchester City Women
1-0 @ 7.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 7.3% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 30.35%
1-1 @ 11.69%
0-0 @ 5.96% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 9.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.19% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 7.36% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.85% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.01%
1-4 @ 1.89% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 44.84%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 17
Arsenal Women
2-1
Man City Women
Maanum (62'), McCabe (74')
Shaw (5')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 1
Man City Women
2-1
Arsenal Women
Hemp (4'), Kelly (43')
Souza (59')
> Preview
Jan 23, 2022 6.45pm
Gameweek 13
Man City Women
1-1
Arsenal Women
Shaw (65')
Stanway (16'), Hemp (33'), Weir (90'), Walsh (90+6')
Heath (90+2')
McCabe (32'), Parris (55'), Miedema (83')
> Preview
Sep 26, 2021 6.45pm
Gameweek 3
Arsenal Women
5-0
Man City Women
Miedema (10'), Little (23', 78' pen.), McCabe (60'), Williamson (90+4')
Maritz (67')

Stokes (45+3')
> Preview
Feb 7, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Arsenal Women
1-2
Man City Women
Foord (57')
White (24'), Hemp (79')
Bronze (71')
rhs 2.0
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