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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Millwall logo

Oxford Utd
1 - 1
Millwall

Goodrham (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tanganga (45')
Tanganga (3'), Leonard (59'), Bryan (64'), Saville (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 3-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Sunderland
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Millwall

With Oxford's unbeaten run at the Kassam Stadium having now come to an end, it remains to be seen how they will react. With Millwall having not played in midweek, we feel that their extra freshness could prove key in sealing a hard-earned win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 46.67%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.18%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Oxford United win it was 1-0 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawMillwall
26.1% (-0.041 -0.04) 27.23% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 46.67% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Both teams to score 46.34% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.66% (0.066000000000003 0.07)58.33% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.04% (0.051000000000002 0.05)78.95% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.79%38.2% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.03%74.96%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.98% (0.063000000000002 0.06)25.01% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.32% (0.088000000000001 0.09)59.67% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 26.1%
    Millwall 46.67%
    Draw 27.23%
Oxford UnitedDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 9.2% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.13% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 4.42% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 26.1%
1-1 @ 12.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.56% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 13.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.18% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.24% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.08% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.47% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 46.67%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Millwall

Oxford United
29.4%
Draw
17.6%
Millwall
52.9%
51
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
2-2
Millwall
(Aggregate 2-2 | Oxford Utd win 4-2 on penalties)
Sykes (87'), Henry (94' pen.)
Sykes (58'), Mousinho (69'), Hanson (73'), Berkoe (80')
Dadi Bodvarsson (29', 52')
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Oct 29, 2016 1pm
Oxford Utd
1-2
Millwall
Sercombe (31')
Skarz (26'), Edwards (52'), Rothwell (65'), Maguire (68')
Morison (36'), O'Brien (50')
Romeo (9'), Thompson (23'), Ferguson (67'), Morison (93')
Feb 2, 2016 7.45pm
Area Finals
Oxford Utd
0-1
Millwall
Gregory (54')
Cummings (59'), Beevers (62')
Beevers (65')
Jan 14, 2016 7.45pm
Area Finals
Millwall
0-2
Oxford Utd

Webster (64')
Roofe (15', 42')
O'Dowda (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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