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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Norwich logo

Millwall
1 - 0
Norwich

Bradshaw (18')
Cooper (61'), Honeyman (81'), Watmore (90+1'), Leonard (90+2')
Saville (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Barnes (60'), McLean (75'), Sargent (81'), Idah (90+3'), Nunez (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Millwall and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 2-0 QPR
Tuesday, December 26 at 1pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Norwich
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Norwich City

Millwall will bring a three-game unbeaten run into this match, while Norwich suffered a defeat last time out, but we are expecting the away side to triumph here considering their quality in the forward positions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
MillwallDrawNorwich City
43.72% (0.029000000000003 0.03) 26.21% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 30.08% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.83% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.52% (0.055 0.05)52.48% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.85% (0.047000000000001 0.05)74.15% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.14% (0.040000000000006 0.04)23.86% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.95% (0.055 0.05)58.05% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.08% (0.018999999999991 0.02)31.92% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.63% (0.021999999999998 0.02)68.37% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 43.72%
    Norwich City 30.08%
    Draw 26.2%
MillwallDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 10.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.27% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.74% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 43.72%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.62% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.12%
0-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 30.08%

How you voted: Millwall vs Norwich

Millwall
15.0%
Draw
20.0%
Norwich City
65.0%
40
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 3
Norwich
3-1
Millwall
Rowe (25'), Sargent (49'), Barnes (56')
Rowe (45+1'), Omobamidele (90+3')
Emakhu (90+1')
Mitchell (45+1')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Millwall
2-3
Norwich
Bradshaw (20'), Flemming (83')
Sorensen (38'), Bradshaw (55' og.), Sara (65')
Aug 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Norwich
2-0
Millwall
Sargent (50', 75')
Gibbs (84'), Krul (90+2')

Saville (19'), Honeyman (66')
Feb 2, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 26
Millwall
0-0
Norwich
McLean (83'), (89')
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 10
Norwich
0-0
Millwall
Woods (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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