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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
King Power Stadium
Millwall logo

Leicester
3 - 2
Millwall

Vestergaard (48'), Daka (52'), Pereira (78')
Coady (37'), Faes (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bradshaw (10'), Nisbet (90+3')
Harding (13'), Cooper (21'), Wallace (24'), Saville (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 4-0 Plymouth
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 2-0 Millwall

Leicester were convincing winners over Plymouth on the weekend, and there is no reason to suggest why the Foxes cannot repeat the trick against a Millwall side who could look to be quite progressive at the King Power. The Lions' tricky run of fixtures culminates on Wednesday night in the East Midlands, where we feel that Edwards's side will be the next victims of the league leaders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 53.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 21.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawMillwall
53.97% (-1.704 -1.7) 24.35% (0.727 0.73) 21.68% (0.982 0.98)
Both teams to score 50% (-0.837 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.76% (-1.802 -1.8)51.24% (1.808 1.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.93% (-1.598 -1.6)73.07% (1.604 1.6)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.09% (-1.31 -1.31)18.91% (1.316 1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.59% (-2.233 -2.23)50.41% (2.239 2.24)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.67% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)38.33% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.91% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)75.09% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 53.96%
    Millwall 21.68%
    Draw 24.35%
Leicester CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.07% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 10.05% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.58% (-0.31 -0.31)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.304 -0.3)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.148 -0.15)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.235 -0.24)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.228 -0.23)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 53.96%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.34 0.34)
0-0 @ 7.25% (0.511 0.51)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.063999999999999 -0.06)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.35%
0-1 @ 6.95% (0.484 0.48)
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 3.33% (0.228 0.23)
1-3 @ 1.77% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 21.68%

How you voted: Leicester vs Millwall

Leicester City
82.8%
Draw
9.4%
Millwall
7.8%
64
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Millwall
0-2
Leicester
Lookman (50'), Iheanacho (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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