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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Coventry City

Millwall
0 - 3
Coventry


Saville (22'), Wallace (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Godden (30'), Sakamoto (67'), Sheaf (88')
Thomas (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-4 Millwall
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-0 Stoke
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 3-1 Coventry City

While Robins would have been grateful for the international break, so would have Edwards after his arrival shortly before the Sheffield Wednesday game. Millwall have the potential to really kick on going forward, and we are backing a home win in relatively comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawCoventry City
31.77% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 26.02% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 42.2% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.16% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.89% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)51.11% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)72.96% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (0.010000000000005 0.01)30.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.83% (0.011000000000003 0.01)66.16% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)24.01% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.73% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)58.26% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 31.77%
    Coventry City 42.19%
    Draw 26.02%
MillwallDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 8.67% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 7.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.22% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 2.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.13%
3-0 @ 2.09% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 31.77%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 7.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 10.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.34% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-3 @ 3.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 42.19%

How you voted: Millwall vs Coventry

Millwall
60.7%
Draw
32.1%
Coventry City
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Millwall
3-2
Coventry
Cooper (36'), Honeyman (53'), Saville (85')
Shackleton (18'), Burey (30'), Afobe (62'), McNamara (68')
McFadzean (2'), Godden (28')
Hamer (37'), Bidwell (64'), McFadzean (82')
Hamer (67')
Dec 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Coventry
0-1
Millwall

Kane (71')
Bradshaw (79')
Bradshaw (56')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Millwall
1-1
Coventry
Saville (21')
Saville (52'), Wallace (62')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Coventry
6-1
Millwall
Shipley (16'), McFadzean (45'), Hyam (59'), O'Hare (62'), James (67'), Walker (84')
McFadzean (81')
McFadzean (54' og.)
McNamara (6'), Evans (45'), Woods (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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