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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Hull logo

Millwall
2 - 2
Hull City

Watmore (8'), Bryan (54')
McNamara (9'), Harding (36'), De Norre (52'), Bryan (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Philogene-Bidace (25'), Traore (30')
Allsop (51'), Connolly (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Millwall
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 3-0 Hull City
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Hull City

Hull City will be keen to bounce back from Tuesday's defeat, while Millwall will have renewed positivity from their away win, but Rowett's men have not excelled on home turf this season, and we anticipate a share of the spoils at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 25.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MillwallDrawHull City
48.79% (0.358 0.36) 25.88% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 25.32% (-0.288 -0.29)
Both teams to score 49.5% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.09% (0.066000000000003 0.07)53.91% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.63% (0.055 0.05)75.37% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88% (0.187 0.19)22.12% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.51% (0.28 0.28)55.49% (-0.281 -0.28)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.56% (-0.21100000000001 -0.21)36.44% (0.209 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.77% (-0.213 -0.21)73.22% (0.211 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 48.79%
    Hull City 25.33%
    Draw 25.88%
MillwallDrawHull City
1-0 @ 12.16% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.17% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.66% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.61% (0.065 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 48.79%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.06% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.14% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.2% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 25.33%

How you voted: Millwall vs Hull City

Millwall
34.6%
Draw
46.2%
Hull City
19.2%
26
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Millwall
2-1
Hull City
Malone (51'), Bradshaw (55')
Ballard (16'), Bialkowski (87')
Eaves (87')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Hull City
2-1
Millwall
Honeyman (29'), Longman (54')
Smallwood (40'), Eaves (89')
Bradshaw (45+1')
McNamara (63'), Afobe (89')
Jul 11, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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