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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2023 at 12pm UK
The Den
Leeds logo

Millwall
0 - 3
Leeds

FT(HT: 0-1)
Piroe (15', 77'), Rutter (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Millwall and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, September 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 0-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Leeds United

With both teams having improved in recent matches, this should prove to be a competitive contest, one that the home side will fancy their chances of winning. However, despite Leeds remaining in a transitional period under Farke, we expect their greater firepower to come through at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawLeeds United
40.68% (-0.518 -0.52) 27.06% (0.894 0.89) 32.26% (-0.372 -0.37)
Both teams to score 50.09% (-2.908 -2.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.87% (-3.667 -3.67)55.12% (3.668 3.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.62% (-3.109 -3.11)76.37% (3.112 3.11)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.38% (-1.944 -1.94)26.62% (1.946 1.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.15% (-2.647 -2.65)61.85% (2.649 2.65)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.25% (-2.098 -2.1)31.74% (2.099 2.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (-2.477 -2.48)68.17% (2.479 2.48)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 40.68%
    Leeds United 32.26%
    Draw 27.06%
MillwallDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 11.18% (0.95 0.95)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-0 @ 7.4% (0.239 0.24)
3-1 @ 3.75% (-0.316 -0.32)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.32 -0.32)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.182 -0.18)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 40.68%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.39 0.39)
0-0 @ 8.45% (1.136 1.14)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.422 -0.42)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 9.7% (0.803 0.8)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.56% (0.156 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.282 -0.28)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 32.26%

How you voted: Millwall vs Leeds

Millwall
27.6%
Draw
20.7%
Leeds United
51.7%
29
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Bamford (48', 66'), Hernandez (62')
Hernandez (64'), Bamford (94')
Hutchinson (4'), Wallace (23' pen.)
Woods (26')
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 39
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Hernandez (34', 83'), Ayling (71')
Cooper (55'), Jansson (65'), Clarke (94')
Thompson (10'), Marshall (55' pen.)
Meredith (7'), Cooper (30'), Marshall (74'), Martin (82')
Sep 15, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 7
Millwall
1-1
Leeds
Wallace (55')
Wallace (59')
Harrison (89')
Jan 20, 2018 3pm
Leeds
3-4
Millwall
Lasogga (46', 62'), Roofe (55')
Jansson (41'), Alioski (58'), Phillips (86')
Cooper (37')
O'Brien (18'), Gregory (42'), Elliott (87'), Wallace (90')
Hutchinson (51'), Elliott (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley27141123192253
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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